1 00:00:10,230 --> 00:00:08,150 draconid meteor outburst presented by 2 00:00:11,830 --> 00:00:10,240 science at nasa 3 00:00:13,030 --> 00:00:11,840 have you ever felt like the sky is 4 00:00:16,230 --> 00:00:13,040 falling 5 00:00:17,750 --> 00:00:16,240 on october 8th you might be right earth 6 00:00:20,870 --> 00:00:17,760 is going to plow through a stream of 7 00:00:22,230 --> 00:00:20,880 dust from comet 21p giacobini's inner 8 00:00:24,070 --> 00:00:22,240 and the result could be a storm of 9 00:00:26,710 --> 00:00:24,080 draconid meteors 10 00:00:28,950 --> 00:00:26,720 we're predicting as many as 750 meteors 11 00:00:31,830 --> 00:00:28,960 per hour visible mainly over the middle 12 00:00:33,590 --> 00:00:31,840 east north africa and parts of europe 13 00:00:35,590 --> 00:00:33,600 says bill cook of nasa's meteoroid 14 00:00:38,150 --> 00:00:35,600 environment office 15 00:00:40,069 --> 00:00:38,160 every six and a half years more or less 16 00:00:41,990 --> 00:00:40,079 comet giacobini's inner swings through 17 00:00:43,990 --> 00:00:42,000 the inner solar system 18 00:00:46,470 --> 00:00:44,000 with each visit it lays down a narrow 19 00:00:47,750 --> 00:00:46,480 filament of dust over time forming a 20 00:00:51,029 --> 00:00:47,760 network of filaments that earth 21 00:00:53,270 --> 00:00:51,039 encounters every year in early october 22 00:00:55,270 --> 00:00:53,280 most years we pass through gaps between 23 00:00:57,350 --> 00:00:55,280 filaments maybe just grazing one or two 24 00:00:59,510 --> 00:00:57,360 as we go by says cook 25 00:01:01,990 --> 00:00:59,520 occasionally though we hit one nearly 26 00:01:04,549 --> 00:01:02,000 head-on and the fireworks begin 27 00:01:07,350 --> 00:01:04,559 2011 could be such a year 28 00:01:09,350 --> 00:01:07,360 forecasters at nasa and elsewhere agree 29 00:01:11,510 --> 00:01:09,360 that earth is heading for three or more 30 00:01:13,190 --> 00:01:11,520 filaments on october 8th 31 00:01:15,190 --> 00:01:13,200 multiple encounters should produce a 32 00:01:17,350 --> 00:01:15,200 series of variable outbursts beginning 33 00:01:20,469 --> 00:01:17,360 around 1600 universal time with the 34 00:01:22,230 --> 00:01:20,479 strongest activity between 1900 and 2100 35 00:01:24,070 --> 00:01:22,240 universal time 36 00:01:26,870 --> 00:01:24,080 estimates of the meteor rate range from 37 00:01:29,030 --> 00:01:26,880 dozens to hundreds of meteors per hour 38 00:01:31,429 --> 00:01:29,040 one respected forecaster paul weigert of 39 00:01:33,670 --> 00:01:31,439 the university of western ontario says 40 00:01:35,749 --> 00:01:33,680 the meteor rate could go as high as 1000 41 00:01:36,950 --> 00:01:35,759 per hour the definition of a meteor 42 00:01:38,870 --> 00:01:36,960 storm 43 00:01:40,630 --> 00:01:38,880 it wouldn't be the first time 44 00:01:42,550 --> 00:01:40,640 close encounters with dusty filaments 45 00:01:46,710 --> 00:01:42,560 produced storms of more than 10 000 46 00:01:50,630 --> 00:01:46,720 draconids per hour in 1933 and 1946 47 00:01:52,469 --> 00:01:50,640 with lesser outbursts in 1985 1998 and 48 00:01:54,550 --> 00:01:52,479 2005. 49 00:01:56,149 --> 00:01:54,560 meteors from comet geocobini's inner 50 00:01:58,630 --> 00:01:56,159 stream out of the northern constellation 51 00:02:00,469 --> 00:01:58,640 draco hence their name 52 00:02:02,310 --> 00:02:00,479 draconids are among the slowest of all 53 00:02:04,310 --> 00:02:02,320 meteors hitting the atmosphere at a 54 00:02:05,429 --> 00:02:04,320 relatively leisurely 20 kilometers per 55 00:02:07,350 --> 00:02:05,439 second 56 00:02:09,430 --> 00:02:07,360 the slow pace of draconid meteors 57 00:02:11,350 --> 00:02:09,440 minimizes their danger to satellites and 58 00:02:12,550 --> 00:02:11,360 spacecraft and makes them visually 59 00:02:14,550 --> 00:02:12,560 distinctive 60 00:02:17,430 --> 00:02:14,560 a draconide gliding leisurely across the 61 00:02:19,270 --> 00:02:17,440 sky is a beautiful sight says cook 62 00:02:21,430 --> 00:02:19,280 unfortunately many of this year's 63 00:02:23,110 --> 00:02:21,440 dragonids will go unseen 64 00:02:24,949 --> 00:02:23,120 clear from the almost full moon will 65 00:02:27,670 --> 00:02:24,959 reduce the number of meteors visible 66 00:02:29,990 --> 00:02:27,680 over europe africa and the middle east 67 00:02:31,670 --> 00:02:30,000 by two to ten fold 68 00:02:33,670 --> 00:02:31,680 the situation is even worse in north 69 00:02:36,390 --> 00:02:33,680 america where the shower occurs in broad 70 00:02:38,470 --> 00:02:36,400 daylight from about noon to 5 pm eastern 71 00:02:40,070 --> 00:02:38,480 daylight time completely obliterating 72 00:02:41,509 --> 00:02:40,080 the display 73 00:02:43,190 --> 00:02:41,519 that isn't stopping a group of high 74 00:02:44,309 --> 00:02:43,200 school students from bishop california 75 00:02:45,910 --> 00:02:44,319 however 76 00:02:47,910 --> 00:02:45,920 they plan to observe the shower from the 77 00:02:49,670 --> 00:02:47,920 stratosphere where the sky is jet black 78 00:02:51,750 --> 00:02:49,680 even in noon time 79 00:02:53,190 --> 00:02:51,760 led by science at nasa's tony phillips 80 00:02:55,110 --> 00:02:53,200 the 12 students have been launching 81 00:02:57,030 --> 00:02:55,120 helium balloons to the edge of space 82 00:02:58,869 --> 00:02:57,040 since may of 2011. 83 00:03:00,949 --> 00:02:58,879 with more than 95 percent of earth's 84 00:03:02,790 --> 00:03:00,959 atmosphere below the balloon the sky 85 00:03:06,309 --> 00:03:02,800 above looks almost as black as it would 86 00:03:07,990 --> 00:03:06,319 from a spacecraft perfect for astronomy 87 00:03:10,070 --> 00:03:08,000 the students are going to fly one of our 88 00:03:12,070 --> 00:03:10,080 low light meteor cameras in the payload 89 00:03:13,430 --> 00:03:12,080 of their balloon says cook 90 00:03:15,589 --> 00:03:13,440 i hope they catch some draconid 91 00:03:17,509 --> 00:03:15,599 fireballs for us to analyze they could 92 00:03:20,470 --> 00:03:17,519 be the only ones we get 93 00:03:22,149 --> 00:03:20,480 stay tuned for results after october 8th 94 00:03:23,350 --> 00:03:22,159 for more news about things flashing in